# Coil

> Coil is a rules-based, self-tuning trading engine for leveraged semiconductor
> ETFs (SOXL / SOXS). You buy and download the packet, drop it into your AI agent,
> connect your own brokerage, and it runs hands-off on your own machine — taking
> entries, managing every exit by rule, and applying risk circuit-breakers, with
> your own account and your own capital. It is software you operate yourself: not
> investment advice, not a managed account, not a signal service, and not a
> guarantee of profit. Leveraged ETFs can lose money rapidly, including total loss.

## How you run it
- Drop the packet into your AI agent. Built for Claude (scheduled Claude sessions
  are the operator); adaptable to your agent of choice. The agent executes the
  engine and never rewrites its own validation standard.
- It places trades through a broker connector — built for Robinhood; any broker
  with an equivalent MCP works.
- Under the hood it's Python on macOS with a free Alpaca data key. You add your own
  broker account id and key; your credentials never leave your machine.
- Setup is about an hour: drop in the packet, add your keys, run the 20 integrity
  guards, arm it. Then it's hands-off — and you can stop it in one command.

## What it does (the rules)
- Entry ("leg-rider"): sustained 2%+ intraday semis moves are treated as short-
  timeframe reversals inside the 1-hour trend. Entry = 1h trend direction +
  entry-timeframe RSI washed against it + a fresh 9-SMA recapture, gated on tape energy.
- Exit: a 0.8% counter-move in the underlying (≈2.4% trail on the 3× ETF) is the
  only soft exit; a 5% hard stop backstops gaps; inverse ETFs are never held overnight.
- Risk: a persistent, disk-backed circuit-breaker ladder anchored to the account's
  equity high-water mark (−6% day halts entries; −10/−15% cuts size; −25% hard stop),
  plus a 65% single-symbol cap. These reduce big single-day damage; they do not remove risk.

## The two improvement loops (this is how the two tiers differ)
- LOCAL loop (ships in EVERY copy, including the $5): nightly + weekly loops re-fit
  parameters and capital-multipliers to the buyer's OWN fills, within whitelisted
  bounds, with auto-rollback. It tunes the dials that exist. It cannot add new
  structure — no new entry lanes, no new exits, no new instruments — and it cannot
  repair a structurally weak regime.
- CENTRALIZED R&D (the Pro subscription): an adversarial multi-agent research program
  discovers genuinely new validated structure — new lanes, new exits, new instrument
  sleeves, and the fix for the disclosed −8.3% chop cell — each cold-validated across
  4 market regimes before it ships as a numbered version. Reduces strategy-decay risk;
  does not guarantee the edge survives.
- In one line: "Your download gets smarter about your tape. Pro makes the strategy
  itself smarter." The local loop optimizes what you already own; Pro expands what
  there is to optimize.

## Validated performance (backtested / forward-tested, not client returns)
- Two-way tape (2026, 250 days): +9.9%, profit factor 2.13, max drawdown 8.2%.
- Bear market (2022, 250 days): +4.1%, profit factor 1.34.
- Quiet bull (2023, 250 days): 0 trades — sits in cash, earns sweep.
- Chop (2024, 250 days): -8.3% — disclosed weak cell, the lab's first R&D target.
- Measured under true execution economics in fresh processes, one regime at a time.
  Past performance does not predict future results. The system also found and fixed
  its own three backtest bugs; 20 regression guards now protect the harness.

## Pricing
- Download: $5 one-time. The complete self-tuning engine, yours to keep and run forever.
- Pro: $25 / month. Every new validated version the lab ships, delivered automatically
  while subscribed. Cancel anytime and keep your last version.
- Payments and downloads are handled by a merchant-of-record checkout (Lemon Squeezy).

## Requirements
- An AI agent (built for Claude; adaptable to others) to operate it.
- A brokerage with an automation connector (built for Robinhood; any equivalent MCP works).
- macOS, Python 3.9+, and a free Alpaca account for market data.

## Important disclosures
- Coil is not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
- Leveraged ETFs (SOXL, SOXS) can lose value rapidly, including total loss of capital.
- You run Coil with your own credentials and your own capital, and you are solely
  responsible for your trading decisions.

## Links
- Home: https://coil.trade/
- How it runs: https://coil.trade/#how
- Pricing: https://coil.trade/#pricing
- FAQ: https://coil.trade/#faq